Saturday 21 September 2019

My Speech to Businessmen of Small Medium sector in UAE

This was a conference with businessmen of small medium sector in UAE. I fondly recall Sri Ramamurthi, group CEO, Bank of Baroda, Dubai who introduced me as a speaker who can retain the attention of audience even if the session is just before lunch. Nice words from a nice gentlemen. I fondly addressed the gathering as a failed entrepreneur. The session created a wave of goodwill, as anything spoken from heart than head appeals to the hearts of people instantaneously. 
- i have no hesitation in documenting my failure in the public domain as it is not a failure but a learning curve. Many wonder when i rattle the quotes every day, whether it is a Gyan just floated in air. No, they are the outcome of takeaways from my failures as well.



Dr.DD's speech at Ritz-Carlton at IBPC Dubai.
Date: 23th Feb 2013

Speech transcript...
"Respected Chairman, IBPC members, Distinguished Dignitaries & Friends.

At the outset, I thank the organizers for giving me this wonderful opportunity of interacting with all of you, entrepreneurs.
A calm sea never produces a skillful mariner. Navigating on shallow water near the shore without exploring the sea is a sin. Not taking a risk in our life is a sin in my opinion.

I salute all of you – the risk takers who focus on “value addition” than just “validation”.  As value creators, I consider you as the creamy layer of the society. SME business is the backbone of any economy.

Well, given my time slot, I do not have the liberty of extending my vocal skills on exchange of pleasantries. Hence, let me take you to my topic – ‘Failure is an option, but fear is not’ – An entrepreneurial perspective.

There is a saying that for a 3 hour talk you can prepare in 30 minutes and for a 3 minute talk you have to prepare for 30 hours. But I have not come here with any prepared script. Today I decided to speak from my heart than from my head. It will be more of my experience & emotions than structured/research reports.

Three issues I intending touching upon –
  •  The fragile economic world & the competitive landscape
  •  The willingness to embrace failures
  •  My personal experience as an entrepreneur

Let us take each one by one ….

1). The Fragile economic world today

Every day we hear about declining GDPs/growing unemployment and so on. I do not want to repeat them here … let me tell you a story …

‘Year 2008, It was a beach town in the Caribbean islands. One day a rich tourist walked into a hotel. The whole town was deserted. These were bad times. Everyone was in debt.
The guest pays 100 US$ to the hotel manager. He told the manager that he will go up and see the room and come back.

The hotel manager uses this 100 USD to pay the past debt to the butcher. The butcher in turn pays his debt to the sheep grower. He in turn pays back his debt to the fuel supplier. The fuel supplier in turn pays back the 100 USD to the same hotel to settle his old debt.

Mean while the tourist comes back. He did not like the room. He took back the 100 USD not and walked out.

No one earned anything. But everyone was out of debt. Everyone’s credit limit revived. The end result of all these fancy method is the great recession. A rocking horse keeps moving but does not progress. Every economy thought that it was growing but in reality there was only ‘motion’ and not ‘progresses’.

The epicenter of all these was in United States and tremor was felt all around – economic chaos all around.

We went through series of changes in economic themes –

Growth Growth
Growth first, Austerity next
Austerity First, Growth Next
Austerity Austerity
Growth with Austerity

Growth & Austerity are oxymorons.  Today we have two contrasting forces pulling us in different directions
  • Debt contraction compulsions.
  • Refusal to accept sacrifices on the part of people.

Developed nations are not able to force sacrifice on people, hence they soft peddle the debt contraction option. They take new debt and repay old debt. The nations are rolling over their finances. They are just elongating the detonating wires and delay the blast than diffuse the blast.

The other day an SME sector businessman was telling me that his financiers are telling him that he was over leveraged. While the Debt to GDP leverage ratio of nations are near 100%, he complained that his financiers advise him to deleverage – this is strange paradox.

This is the fragile economic world today. We are living in troubled times. But we can not complain. The role of entrepreneurship is pronounced more in these troubled times. We need more entrepreneurs, more risk takers – But we should not be afraid of failures.  Now we came to the second issue ‘Embrace Failures’ ….

2). Embrace failures …

You might have heard of the stories of achievers from motivational Gurus. Abraham Lincoln, Thomas Alva Edison, Sir C.V.Raman – all of them achieved after fighting innumerable battles. I will not address these again as you might be already familiar.

I will narrate the story of an SME sector businessman in USA.

A business execute was in deep debt and could see no way out. He sat on a park wondering what to do. Suddenly an old man appeared, listened to him and said ‘I can help you. Take this money, meet me exactly one year at the same place. You can pay me back at that time’.

He gave a cheque 5 million USD signed by Jhon D.Rock Feller, the richest oil magnet of that time.

The executive instead of using the cheque kept it in his safe and started with renewed optimism At the back of the mind the 5 million USD was giving comfort to him. Slowly he came out if his debt, while the cheque was lying in his safe. 

Exactly one year later he went back to the park. The old man appeared. Just before handing over his cheque, a hospital nurse came running, she said, ‘good I caught him. I hope he is not bothering you. He goes on telling people that he is Jhon D.Rock Feller. He is actually a patient of our hospital’.

The executive was stunned. He realized it was not the real but imaginary money that gave him the courage, that courage made all the difference, Humility in success and courage in failure is what we have to follow. Failure is an option, but fear is not!

3). Preacher or Practitioner ….

Now we come to the third issue. It is always easy to preach than practice. Ronald Regan one said – ‘When your neighbor loses the job you call it a normal business cycle, but when you lose your job you call it a great depression’.

Similarly a question may arise in your mind whether I have ever faced a failure – Am I talking here as a preacher or a practitioner of entrepreneurship. The question is valid. Here is my story …

Life was a smooth ride for me, nice things were happening at a right times. During this easy phase, I was also not an exception that hits everyone, yes; I am talking about the entrepreneurial bug. Your life is successful; you have spent a decent time on other’s business expansion. Why not we do ourselves! This bug also hit me. Success is lousy teacher; it seduces the smart people to think that they can never go wrong.  If you are successful in one area, you tend to think you will be successful in all areas. The tail wing was taking me to the dizzy heights with no exposure to failures. Ego is an anesthetic that deadens the pain of stupidity. Repository of ego base started setting into my system slowly. I was feeling that the bottom is overcrowded; therefore I should reach the top quickly.

Then came the sudden wind that twisted the whole picture, a wave of macroeconomic changes, led me to face the jaws of my first defeat on my first entrepreneurial move.

The people who betted on me departed, the friends who invested with me turned into vociferous foes, the illustrious personalities on my board who voluntarily annexed themselves with me, resigned from the board immediately at the first sight of the problems in my business model. Suddenly I saw chaos around me. I started getting so many free advices. No one had time to go into the process of “why the failure”, but everyone looked at the outcome and not the process. I realized the world rewards the end and not the means. The world recognizes the performance and not the passion.

Getting back to the MNC corporate main stream was as a problem, as they do not take the executives who take entrepreneurship, seriously. The question that crossed my mind was – How do we handle failures, miseries and manage success or happiness? Success is your friend, failure is your teacher, I thought. Excess happiness syndrome and the lack of exposure to failure daunted me, tested me.

I had two options – “Brood over, Get frustrated and perish” or “Accept the realities, identify my USP and understand to recreate myself”.

I opted for the second one, I could not revive the unit or invest in that unit I could not get back to my plum job in a MNC – hence I took up a reasonable position in a relatively small corporate belonging to a Board of Director of my failed company.

The Board of Director who took a risk on me at this bad phase is a UAE based Businessman to whom I will ever be grateful. In Ten years I could do my doctorate, establish our corporate brand strongly in the market and stand in front of you with the wisdom gained, in the form of the book “A Saint in the Boardroom” Every pain has a gain, you see. Have you every failed in your life? If not, I invite you to taste the thrills of the failure. I guarantee you; you will become a balanced personality with abundant wisdom. Success tells you what you are; Failure tells you who you are. Failure is an option, while fear in not. Folks, it does not matter what happens to you in life, but what you do when something happens is the key.

Having staked my claim of being a Practioner of entrepreneurship, now I take you to my concluding session –Concluding Remarks

We can control a process/strategy but can not control the outcome. Failures may erupt we need to fight it out. The champions are not made in the gym but are made in the inner walls of the chambers of your soul. You are fighting the greatest wars in the silent chambers of your soul. Fight it out ….

Life may crown you or crucify you on a cross…

Chase your passion but learn to face the outcome of whatever nature. Focus on the roots and not on fruits. Failure will teach you great lessons. Don’t shy away from failures in your entrepreneurial role. Never give up – stay hungry, stay positive, grow your risk appetite. Convert your inner sparks into fames of achievement. Continue to build entrepreneurial spirits into the societal DNA.

Finally, again, I invite you to taste the thrills of failure. I guarantee you that eventually you will win!
-          Good Luck!!"

Thursday 19 September 2019

My Speech at Annamalai University - drdd

Dear well- wishers,

Here is my Speech at Annamalai University, Tamil Nadu. Topic - Convert the Sparks of possibilities into Flames of Achievements

Some portion of my speech as a chief guest at Annamalai university commerce dept which received a standing ovation this week. People appreciate when we link the speech to the personal experiences than text book experiences, I realized. 

Just shared with u as I always believe in sharing good things with my well-wishers.

Here is this extract -
“You may ask me v r used to listening to great people’s story. But we are
ordinary people. 
No every one is a specialty. Only yr attitude determines your altitude. I give my own example since u may prefer live examples:

  - I proudly declare in any forum i am a product of a rural town Mayiladuthurai. My father was a humble teacher. நேர்மையும் ,நம்பிக்கையும், கடவுள் 
பக்தியுமே என் தந்தை எனக்கு அளித்த 
அழிக்க முடியாத அசைவில்லா சொத்து. அனுபவத்தால் உணரவேண்டிய ஒன்றை..., 
ஆயிரம் தத்துவ ஞானிகளாலும் உணரவைக்க முடியாது.மூக்கு பிடித்து மலை பல கடந்து 
முனிவர் பலர் பெற்ற தத்துவத்தை, ஒட்டியும் 
ஒட்டாமலே வாழ்ந்த வாழ்க்கையால் எனக்கு கற்று தந்தவள் என் தாய்

- I read at Tamil medium since our school where my father was a teacher did not have English medium. I studied my BCom in madras university but from same rural town. Even though v study college in English medium v speak in Tamil between friends there. I studied my ca from another rural town Thanjavur. I did not want to spend money of my father given our position. But i never wanted  my father to feel the stigma of not being able to educate me in popular branded schools. I just spent 700 rs for ca and 500 rs for college. I told my father that coming top rank will negate my not being taught at public schools/ branded schools. 

   I came in the top ranking my school, went on to rank no 3 in the whole of madras university amongst 12000 students. I was amongst the top 20 all India rank holders in ca and top rank 1 in all India in post graduate in mg accountancy of ca. All from rural background with no  expense To my father. 

But he taught me “ try to reach the moon but be happy even if u reach the tree top. Courage in a crisis and calmness in success are the mantras he taught me”

   In graduation only top three rank holders will be called for graduation in those days as madras university had more than 125 colleges across Tamil Nadu. While i went for convocation due to my top rank, my batchmate of the same year from chemistry division who did not make  even within top 25, later became the most powerful woman on the planet. She went to USA after her graduation/ IIMC. That is a history. She is none other than indra nooyee for you. Now i never can blame it to my bad luck or my father’s fault of not sending me abroad. But  both my daughters went to Stanford/ Harvard/ Kellog business school today. They always tell me everyday “ dad, you should have come to usa at a young age. You would have reached the highest altitude” but i have no regrets. What i could not do i could make my daughters do. 

When I came to the city of madras after my CA, the first interview of mine was at MNC Unilever. There was a group discussion on “ role of Russians in Afghanistan” 
I knew quality stuff. But due to my inability to communicate fluently in English,  I lost to Doon school & Lvodale guys. They were short in substance but strong in english communication. I started with my first failure even after top ranks but due to rural background. 

  I never gave up. I decided to take my first job in Mumbai. Bought “ write better & speak better” book from readers digest. Deliberately moved in the company of IITs & IIMs. In two years i could get over my initial disadvantage. 

 Today when i sign in literary festivals in Dubai, i do see my Doon school friends getting autographed on my book. One Englishman standing in a queue to get my signature in my book which he bought,  asked me” oh, 1 lakh words in your book. How come u write this English when as an Englishman I struggle!”

   I went closer to his ears and said "sir, you listen to more surprise. I studied my schooling at tamil medium from a rural town in south india. Even today i think in tamil first and then convert to english. I am a proud rural product."

Count your blessings, not your curses. Convert the sparks of  “possibilities” in you into flames of “ achievements”

  I am just sharing this not boasting but for boosting the confidence of those who feel they r under- achievers.  

I make sure i see only share positvity and share only positive aspects on the public domain. The negative feelings do cross at times. But i prefer to deal with it at my own level and try to kill such negative feelings with spritual support all alone. 

God bless u all
Drdd

Wednesday 11 September 2019

#Auto sector in first gear.. How do accelerate? A micro approach

Issue today:


The macro economists are debating whether the decline in auto sales is due to cyclical or structural. 
- Unlike macro economists, being a corporate guy i would like a micro approach 
- whenever controls come in,industry ask for the govt to stay away from intrusion. But whenever  demand slump comes in, the industry wants the govt to grant fiscal reliefs. 
- Today the  demand for passenger cars have declined with entry level cars suffering most. But two wheeler (https://www.statista.com/statistics/318023/two-wheeler-sales-in-india/
- three wheelers (Hi-export here) are growing. (https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.financialexpress.com/industry/auto-sales-on-track-3-wheelers-buck-the-trend-with-24-growth-in-fy-19/1546806/lite/)
- truck sales in Aug is showing a decline but until march it was fine. 
- Second hand car market is increasing
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.livemint.com/auto-news/why-the-second-hand-car-market-is-seeing-a-boom/amp-1557940318102.html

A micro approach  to strategy from a firm’s point of view
- As a strategy on a micro approach from a firm’s  point of view( without blaming govt) they have to explore these 

          - Are their  vehicle segment declining?
          - A drill down of demand age wise/ income wise/ urban rural wise/ institution demand pattern can tell us the exact pain points 
    
- If the pain points r out and see whether domestic  demand is declining due to the structural changes say it may be.. Uber/ Metro/ better Railway facilities have changed the mindset of people to own cars, or the speculative gains of real estate sector off or black money parking off etc in the case of trucks waiting time at toll gates less due to GST or liquidity of NBFC affecting finance availability etc
         
  - whether export growth is possible
  - can there be price sensitive demand growth
  - if not then can we lease partial facility to global players having firm export markets
  - can we convert part of the facility into ancillary component making for global players with hi export market
  - can we convert part of facility into a defense  component manufacturing facility to reduce the idle capacity?
  - can we quickly amend our facility to make electric cars with minimum investments? If so how? How soon? 


Macro policy changes

After that we go to go to govt for macro policy changes- 
- GST drop 
- Govt announcing capital subsidy for all vehicles above 20 years/ 15 years/ 10 years , who convert their vehicle into electric vehicle or environment friendly vehicle or atleast a dual oil and EV type?

- Govt may introduce phasing of the old vehicles first year capital subsidy for all govt vehicles, second year taxis and third year onward public and in 5 years > 20 year old goes off into EV. This can give a guaranteed demand of EVS to auto industry. Govt can also explore environment Cess to fund the transition to EVS with capital subsidies


To sum up

The govt can not solve all the industry problems. The industry has to strategically plan itself with a micro approach first. The govt can not go back to create jobless growth by once again creating speculative gains in the market such as real estate etc. It has to bring in genuine growth in the gdp. That means we should be prepared to accept a shake out in the economy. The govt can at best help a soft landing via fiscal concessions, capital subsidies for change over to environment friendly methods and so on. 

God bless india in its bumpy ride towards 5 trillion $. Drdd